Round 5 of the AFL Premiership Season for 2022 comes to a close on Monday with the annual Easter Monday clash between Geelong and Hawthorn at the MCG.

Draftstars have delivered with a $75,000 main contest and various other contests, including some $500k AFL Live Final Qualifier contests. Check out our article here with all the info regarding the AFL Live Event.


In addition to previews for each and every slate this season, Daily Fantasy Rankings will continue with our AFL Resources page. This section provides you all the data you need to build your best line-ups. It includes daily cheat sheets for Draftstars, Player Correlation tables, Player Out tables, Scores Against tables, Tagging information, statistical breakdowns and much more!


CLICK HERE TO ACCESS OUR CHEAT SHEET FOR THIS MATCH

Hawthorn vs Geelong at the MCG (GEEL -17.5, 151.5)

Weather



Not the best weather forecast I have ever seen. The MCG does drain well, however if there is a solid downpour nearing game time it may favour a slightly more contested style of game. Let’s play some fantasy!

Where to Attack?

The Hawks are giving up above average scores through opposition defensive units, particularly through the Top 3 defenders. I would anticipate this would likely continue here regardless of the conditions.

This is where it might get a little bit ugly for the Hawks. The Power, Saints, North and Blues have feasted on fantasy scoring through the middle, even with Hawthorn's 2-2 record. Even with a potential shower or two on the forecast for Monday, the Cats mids can play a contested style of game and shouldn't be fazed.

I've highlighted the scores Geelong have given up to forwards here across the first four weeks. This has included a couple of hybrid mid/fwd players such as Isaac Heeney and Jamie Elliot producing some very high scores. Given the Cats are heavy favourites here as well, I don't see this stat holding up as much as the two above.


Game Script – Geelong stacks


VALUE PLAYS

Luke Dahlhaus ($8,100) is a little bit of a watch-and-wait given his propensity to be the medical sub at times to start this season. As a result, his averages don't quite reflect his output across a full game. Will have no issue with the rain if it were to come, and has the ability to produce a 10x score here in a game the Cats should control.
 

MID PRICED PLAYS

Mark Blicavs ($10,080) looks to be the pick of the ruck stocks here in a area that is largely slim pickings. Ned Reeves hasn't shown to be a high scoring primary ruck, and Rhys Stanley hasn't been producing high disposal games. Happy to take Blicavs here.

James Sicily ($12,460) is one of only a few Hawks that stand out for me on the slate. He takes a percentage of the kick-ins, and given the need for accuracy to pick your way through the Geelong defensive set-up, look for Sicily to be one of the main players tasked with that responsibility. Scoring well on his return from missing a year, so should continue to build.


PREMIUM PLAYS

Mitch Duncan ($13,610) is an intriguing one here as he hasn't yet exploded for a big score in 2022. After missing round 1, Duncan has scored 80, 90 and 88 points whilst maxing out at 20 disposals as his top effort to date. Worth considering in this match-up given his scoring production off low disposal counts and the scores the Hawks have given up through the middle.

Tom Stewart (13,950) looks to be a very solid play here as a premium defender selection. Building into the season nicely, and when you consider his below average time on ground vs the Pies and the Hawks giving up above average scores to defenders, he looks to be a solid addition to the team here.

 

Steve's Suggested Draftstars Team


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