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AFL 2022 Daily Fantasy Tips: Round 19 Saturday
Round 19 of the 2022 AFL season continues with a cracking day of action on Saturday, headlined by a 2021 Grand Final rematch between Melbourne and the Western Bulldogs, as well as the ‘Q Clash’ between Brisbane and Gold Coast. Elsewhere, North Melbourne look for two wins in a row as they head to Blundstone Arena, where they will taking on Hawthorn. Sydney will also look to maintain their momentum from an upset win last week, hosting Adelaide to the SCG as heavy favourites.
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- AFL $5,000+ Saturday Mini ($2 Entry) at Draftstars
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In addition to previews for each and every slate this season, Daily Fantasy Rankings will continue with our AFL Resources page. This section provides you all the data you need to build your best line-ups. It includes daily cheat sheets for Draftstars, Player Correlation tables, Player Out tables, Scores Against tables, Tagging information, statistical breakdowns and much more!
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Betting Odds
North Melbourne vs Hawthorn at Blundstone Arena (Hawthorn -20.5, 168.5)
Sydney vs Adelaide at the SCG (Sydney -40.5, 156.5)
Port Adelaide vs Geelong at Adelaide Oval (Geelong -7.5, 154.5)
Brisbane vs Gold Coast at the GABBA (Brisbane -24.5, 172.5)
Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne at Marvel Stadium (Melbourne -8.5, 166.5)
Weather
Adelaide
Brisbane
Sydney
Hobart
Rain is only likely to impact the game in Sydney, where 3-5mm is forecast over the day. As such, it may be best to target inside players who thrive on the contest at the SCG. The radar is clear across the rest of the country bar Melbourne, where the roof at Marvel will keep any rain out.
Where to Attack?
With five matches back on the bill for Saturday, there are plenty of avenues to attack. Let’s call on the AFL Data Tools to assist our selections!
It is no surprise that North Melbourne and Hawthorn are conceding a stack of fantasy points, given they are young developing teams occupying the foot of the table. While it has been best practice to stack against the Kangaroos all year, their improved recent form dictates that some more thought should be put into which side will get on top in the encounter between the two teams.
We have some fantastic options for defensive selections on Saturday, as the three worst teams for conceding points to backs are all playing. When Melbourne dominates the territory battle opposition defenders tend to have a field day, so Bulldogs backs may be able to feast on Saturday night, however there is no guarantee that the Dees will have it all their own way.
Forwards against Hawthorn and North are an obvious avenue, however I’d like to point out the Bulldogs defensive woes here. The 2021 Grand Finalists have been leaky on the scoreboard and that has translated into points for opposition forwards, namely key forwards. Tall options from the Demons could be a sneaky low-ownership play on this slate if you think Melbourne win.
Game Script – Bulldogs backs, North Melbourne/Hawthorn midfielders
VALUE PLAYS
Rhys Mathieson ($6,000)
It’s rare that I include a player in my recommendations two weeks in a row, however it is impossible to pass up on Mathieson as a value selection. As predicted, the ‘barometer’ returned with a bang last week, putting up 95 points at minimum price. He was afforded plenty of midfield minutes and should return value again this week, especially considering the DFS ‘Points Against’ tool shows that the Suns concede the fifth most points to midfielders.
Elijah Hollands ($6,000)
Fantasy players have been waiting to see Hollands get an opportunity at AFL level all season, and now the time has come. The former top-10 pick has been solid in the second tier, with five scores over 90, and there is no doubt that he will be eager to impress on debut as the Suns look to keep their finals hopes alive.
MID-PRICED PLAYS
Charlie Dixon ($10,030)
Picking a ruckman has proven to be difficult on this slate, with no real standout options in my eyes. As such, it’s about hunting for value, and I believe big Charlie Dixon can provide that. The DFR ‘Ruck Analysis’ tool shows that Dixon has taken over the bulk of the ruck duties in the last month, scoring no lower than 79 in that time. Rhys Stanley is hardly an intimidating opponent, so I can see Dixon going 80+ again here.
Josh Ward ($9,200)
Promising draftee Ward had a breakout performance last week against the Eagles, scoring a whopping 133 points. Since returning the youngster has gradually been given more responsibility in the midfield, and if that trend continues he should see plenty of time in the middle this weekend. While Ward’s price has risen, his ceiling justifies the risk and hopefully some wary DFS players stay away.
PREMIUM PLAYS
Callum Mills ($16,880)
There are plenty of signs pointing towards a big performance from Mills on Saturday. Playing at home against the struggling Crows Mills should thrive, especially if there is a bit of moisture on the SCG surface. He loves the contest, racks up the tackles and has gone 130+ in his last two matches.
Suggested Draftstars Team
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