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NRL 2019 Fantasy Tips: Round 11
Round 11 of the NRL is back on Thursday night with the Panthers against the Eels to kick off Indigenous round. The Panthers are having a horror season with 6 losses on the trot with the spluttering attack only producing 88 points in that particular span. Parramatta on the other hand will be keen to perform well at their new Bankwest stadium and are warm 6-point favourites.
Team lists show up a thousand lineup changes for both sides with either players being booted out, benched or playing in a different position. But the key lineup change for this contest is that James Maloney is suspended, meaning Jarome Luai ($9,200 DS) will be playing in the 6 jersey. I'm expecting more of the kicking game and attack to go through Nathan Cleary ($14,500 DS) who is under enormous pressure with speculation that his Blues jersey for State of Origin is now no longer his.
Being on “Broadway” can either go horribly wrong for the Panthers or show the NRL community that they can actually play some decent footy. Let’s hope it's the latter…
I've consulted with the Dragon this week and he's very keen on a Penrith come from behind win - possibly a field goal to win the game... I told the Dragon to settle down. But alas I like this game script and am going to run with it.
Chalk, Champ, Cheapie and Chump!
Chalk - Reed Mahoney ($14,200 DS)
After playing 80 minutes last week and no real alternative at the Hooker for the Eels to replace, it is set and forget for Mahoney this week. With Katoa for the Panthers doing not much at all last week for 49 minutes and Luai playing in the halves, it is difficult to see how this plays out for the Panthers. Mahoney is now a safe play with minutes now trending at 80 per game.
Champ - James Fisher-Harris ($14,550 DS)
The move back to Lock for Fisher-Harris and the guarantee of 80 minutes at this position is a great move for Fisher-Harris fantasy point production. The last two weeks of below 50 point performances will scare a few but these scores were on the edge. Whilst the Parramatta back rowers of Lane ($13,190 DS), Ma’u ($12,530 DS) and Niukore ($11,930 DS) are less expensive, Fisher-Harris’s base point production will increase and will show some attacking upside.
Cheapie - Viliame Kikau ($11,420 DS)
If Penrith are up and about then Kikau has a big say in this. Tackle breaking unit but can miss a few as well. But if Eels attack go down his edge, Kikau’s point production can go backwards quick smart. Loves a try near the goal line and can make multiple tackle breaks in reaching the line. The question is can Cleary and Luai get him close. Can smash value or sink you.
Chump - Sione Katoa ($8,800 DS)
If you like the cheap dummy half that has no problems missing tackles and not really apart of any attacking plays then Sione is your man. If he gets a better run minutes and sticking tackles then the price tag is pretty cheap for the position, but this is a risky play at best. Let’s hope for some high ownership.
The Daily Fantasy Rankings "Dragon" has scoured the Australian sports betting markets and found some great value picks for this game. Check out his picks for the day below and click on the links to follow his betting plays!
|Penrith Line +6.0||$1.90||Bet now at BetEasy!|
|Penrith 1-12||$3.75||Bet now at Neds!|
|First Try Scorer - Mitchell Moses||$21.00||Bet now at Pointsbet!|
|Half Time / Full Time Parramatta-Penrith||$11.00||Bet now at Sportbet!|
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