Russell Westbrook

NBA Monday (Tuesday AEST) brings a small 4 game slate to play. The usual major DFS tournaments are on offer:

We have broken down the matchups and highlighted the key plays to help you build winning lineups. For more insight into how to utilise our game breakdown data check out our NBA DFS Training Camp Series:

Part 1 – Betting Lines and Totals

Part 2 – Matchup Analysis – Pace and Defense vs Position

Part 3 – Key Statistics in Daily Fantasy Basketball

Part 4 – Trade Analysis – Breaking Down the Jimmy Butler Trade

Part 5  DraftKings Sharpshooter Winning Lineup Recap

Part 6 – Adjusting for Line-up News

Have you seen our new NBA DFS Cheat Sheets? We have added even more information for you to see at a glance, including pace numbers, last 5 scores per player and a new Slate Overview section, which brings you projected pace, projected fantasy score totals and Vegas lines and totals for every team on the slate. The perfect accompaniment to our regular previews and a great starting place for the days we don't cover!

GAME BREAKDOWN

NBA Game Breakdown

Four solid games to attack on this small slate with only one game line indicating a blow out in Phoenix at Utah. The top game total on the slate is Brooklyn at Portland at 225.5 fantasy points and should be a popular target with both teams still jostling for playoff position. Philadelphia at Orlando also features two teams with incentive to play hard as the Sixers try and hold onto the 3rd seed while the Magic are still making a run for the final spot in the playoffs.

NBA Pace of Play

Portland are incredibly the only pace up matchup on this slate based on the last 10 games. As noted above this should be a popular avenue to target with Brooklyn playing at the 7th fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

Utah have the largest implied point differential compared to their season average at +5.7 points, however with a 15 point line it is wise to be wary of the blowout.

Injury News

Major injury news that could impact this slate includes:

Phoenix

Tyler Johnson and Kelly Oubre are out on this slate, while Josh Jackson is questionable. Expected starters include D Melton (DS $5,610, DK $3,700) at point guard, Mikal Bridges (DS $7,560, DK $5,100) at small forward and Dragon Bender (DS $5,130, DK $3,600) at power forward.

Portland

CJ McCollum remains out on this slate. In the four games he has missed this season Damian Lillard (DS $19,080, DK $9,900) has averaged a massive +11.6 fantasy points in those games.

CJ McCollum Out

Draftstars

VALUE

Remember to monitor injury news, particular those uncertainties noted above, as tip off gets closer as further value should open up.

Seth Curry (DS $6,760, DK $3,800) is trending in the right direction over the past two games. Taking McCollum’s position in the starting lineup he has played 30 minutes per game over the last two and returned an average of 28.5 fantasy points.

MID-PRICED

Jusuf Nurkic (DS $12,780, DK $6,900) has the best matchup in the league for his position. Brooklyn have consistently conceded the most points to centres all season and this trend has continued recently giving up the most in the league over the past 10 games. Portland are also in the top game total on the slate and Nurkic’s price has dipped too far for a player with 70 point upside.

Points Against Cs

PREMIUM

Russell Westbrook (DS $20,470, DK $10,900) has taken the bull by the horns and is trying drag the Thunder back up the standings for the playoffs. He has notched up back to back 66 points games and gone for 66+ points in four of his last 5 games. On this slate he brings the highest ceiling of all the stars and the safest floor matching up against Memphis whose defense has slipped dramatically to below league average over the past 10 games.

Data provided by Notorious of RotoGrinders and Daily Fantasy Rankings NBA Resources

 

DFR Dragon's Picks

The Daily Fantasy Rankings "Dragon" has scoured the Australian sports betting markets and found some great value picks for these games. Check out his picks for the day below and click on the links to follow his betting plays!

Dragon's Picks Odds Sportsbook
Jusuf Nurkic 14+ Rebounds $2.50 Bet now at BetEasy!
Philadelphia 76ers -2.5  $1.92 Bet now at Neds!
Jusuf Nurkic Over 18.5 Points $1.89 Bet now at Sportsbet!
Jusuf Nurkic Most Points Handicap +10.5 $5.75 Bet now at Pointsbet!

 

 

DraftKings

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