Matt Crouch

We’ve got another Super Saturday on our hands for Round 17 of the 2019 AFL Premiership Season. Five matches are on the card for Saturday, some with the potential to be absolute blockbusters. 

The five games on this slate are as follows (all times AEST):

Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues (1:45pm, SCG)

Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers (2:10pm, UTS) 

Essendon Bombers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos (4:35pm, Marvel)

Gold Coast Suns vs Adelaide Crows (7:25pm, Metricon)

Geelong Cats vs St Kilda Saints (7:25pm, GMHBA)

As always, we’ve scoured all the markets at the major betting agencies to bring you our favourite plays in a bid to win you some extra spending money. Check out this week’s edition below and good luck to everyone following!

For reference, the graph below displays the average fantasy points each team concedes to opposition players each week. If you want to do a bit of individual research, you can check out our Data Tools here.

AFL Points Against

Jy Simpkin

Young Jy Simpkin is one of many North players playing out of their skin at the moment. He’s enjoying increased midfield time under caretaker coach Rhyce Shaw and has taken full advantage of it. He’s had a 78 and 110 in his last two and looks to be building really nicely in the back half of the season. 

North Melbourne come up against the Bombers who will likely send designated tagger Dylan Clarke to Ben Cunnington, which should allow the rest of the North mids to run around chasing their own footy. Expect Simpkin to post another 80+ score and top his group at BetEasy.

Fantasy group BetEasy

TIP: Jy Simpkin Most Fantasy Points Group B - $4.25 BetEasy

Matt Crouch

The Crows get the soft match-up vs Gold Coast this weekend. The Suns have conceded the most points to opposition midfielders this season and have remained consistent in doing so. They also give up the most points to the top three scoring opposition midfielders with an average of 121 per player, which is six points more than Carlton (115) in second place. 

Matt Crouch has had a couple of quiet(ish) games by his standards over the past two weeks and will be desperate to redeem himself by taking advantage of the lowly Suns. Expect him and his fellow Crows mids to get a serious case of leather poisoning on Saturday.

TIP: Matt Crouch Over 103.5 Fantasy Points - $1.88 PointsBet

Tom Stewart

The Cats get a soft match-up vs St Kilda this weekend down at GMHBA Stadium. The Saints have given up the second most points to opposition backs this season and don’t look like tightening the screws anytime soon. Last weekend we saw the likes of Pittard (96), Thompson (82), Atley (80), and Tarrant (72) all score well above their season averages and this week it’s the Cats backs who get their turn.

Tom Stewart is clearly the go-to rebounding defender for the Cats and should get ample opportunity to rack up fantasy points on Saturday night. Expect to see him pick up a lot of cheap kicks + marks in the back 50 on his way to a big ton.

TIP: Tom Stewart Over 94.5 Fantasy Points - $1.88 BetEasy

 

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