NBA Tuesday (Wednesday AEST) sees us get the conference finals underway after what was one of the best second rounds of the playoffs in NBA history. Games are every other day through the conference finals, with this slate kicking off the West finals between the Golden State Warriors and Portland Trail Blazers. The major DFS tournaments on offer include:

  • $5K+ NBA Warriors v Trail Blazersy at Draftstars
  • $500 NBA Warriors v Trail Blazers Mini at Draftstars
  • $600K NBA Showdown Best of the West at DraftKings ($100K to 1st)
  • $100K NBA Showdown Four Point Play (20 Entry Max) at DraftKings
  • $1K NBA Blazers vs Warriors Special at Moneyball 

In case you are new to NBA DFS these articles break down the matchups and highlight the key plays to help you build winning lineups. For more insight into how to utilise our game breakdown data check out our NBA DFS Training Camp Series:

Part 1 – Betting Lines and Totals

Part 2 – Matchup Analysis – Pace and Defence vs Position

Part 3 – Key Statistics in Daily Fantasy Basketball

Part 4 – Trade Analysis – Breaking Down the Jimmy Butler trade

Part 5 – DraftKings Sharpshooter Winning Lineup Recap

Part 6 – Adjusting for Line-up News

Have you seen our new NBA DFS Cheat Sheets? We have added even more information for you to see at a glance, including pace numbers, last 5 scores per player and a new Slate Overview section, which brings you projected pace, projected fantasy score totals and Vegas lines and totals for every team on the slate. The perfect accompaniment to our regular previews and a great starting place for the days we don't cover!

GAME BREAKDOWN

Just the one game to analyse on this slate, however it is still worth considering who has the best of the matchup. The Warriors are significant favourites at home and are implied for a game total that is 4.5 points closer to their season average than the Trail Blazers, making them the better team to target on this slate.

Injury/Lineup News

Kevin Durant and Boogie Cousins are both still out with injury to start this series. Andrew Bogut will likely start at centre, however he played just 12 minutes in game 6. Rather it is Kevon Looney who picks up the majority of the minutes playing 20+ minutes in games 5 and 6 of the series against the Rockets.

In the four games Durant has missed this season it has been Alfonzo McKinnie and Klay Thompson who have been the biggest beneficiaries according to our player out tool.

VALUE

Kevon Looney (DS $5,050, DK $3,600, MB $5,000) is the safest cash game play on this slate with the current state of the Warriors lineup. He is a lock and load play on Draftstars and DraftKings priced at near the minimum. Looney has consistently played 20+ minutes over recent games, a trend that will continue with no Durant and Cousins. During the last two games he has averaged over 23 fantasy points per game.

Zach Collins (DS $8,900, DK $8,400, MB $6,000) is more of a sneaky play on this slate. At his price points he should be relatively low owned for a single game slate, however in this series he is likely to get more opportunity. Kanter is battling an injured shoulder and the Warriors present a terrible matchup for him running high pick and roll for shooters like Curry and Thompson. Collins will be more mobile at switching in these situations. Over the past three games in the Western Conference Semifinals, Collins averaged 24 minutes and 26.5 fantasy points.

PREMIUM

Klay Thompson (DS $12,100, DK $12,600, MB $8,000) will be one of the biggest beneficiaries of Durant being out in the early games of this series. His price is yet to hit the level it should, with him averaged over 40 fantasy points over the last two games. During the season, as noted above, Thompson averaged +5.2 fantasy points during the games that Durant missed.

Dragon Team

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The Daily Fantasy Rankings "Dragon" has scoured the Australian sports betting markets and found some great value picks for these games. Check out his picks for the day below and click on the links to follow his betting plays!

Dragon's Picks Odds Sportsbook
Klay Thompson 35+ Points $6.00 Bet now at BetEasy!
Warriors -7.5 $1.92 Bet now at Neds!
Draymond Green Over 7.5 Assists $1.82 Bet now at Sportsbet!
Draymond Green More Points H2H vs Kanter $1.86 Bet now at Pointsbet!

 

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