Nikola Jokic

NBA Monday (Tuesday AEST) brings a 2 game slate of intend playoff basketball. The major DFS tournaments on offer include:

In case you are new to NBA DFS these articles break down the matchups and highlight the key plays to help you build winning lineups. For more insight into how to utilise our game breakdown data check out our NBA DFS Training Camp Series:

Part 1 – Betting Lines and Totals 

Part 2 – Matchup Analysis – Pace and Defence vs Position

Part 3 – Key Statistics in Daily Fantasy Basketball

Part 4 – Trade Analysis – Breaking Down the Jimmy Butler trade

Part 5 – DraftKings Sharpshooter Winning Lineup Recap

Part 6 – Adjusting for Line-up News

Have you seen our new NBA DFS Cheat Sheets? We have added even more information for you to see at a glance, including pace numbers, last 5 scores per player and a new Slate Overview section, which brings you projected pace, projected fantasy score totals and Vegas lines and totals for every team on the slate. The perfect accompaniment to our regular previews and a great starting place for the days we don't cover!

GAME BREAKDOWN

vegas lines

Philadelphia at Toronto has the highest game total of the two games on the slate at 220.5 points. This is only slightly above Portland at Denver, with both games expected to remain close, which is no surprise at this stage in the playoffs.

Pace of Play

There is only one team on the slate with a pace up matchup and that is the Toronto Raptors, matched up against the 76ers who have played at the second fastest pace in the playoffs. Both Philadelphia and Portland are expected to score over 8 points below their implied total.

Injury/Lineup News

The major injury cloud on this slate is over Portland’s starting centre Enes Kanter who is questionable for this slate. If Kanter sits on this slate he will likely be replaced in the starting line up by Zach Collins, while Meyers Leonard would also see an increase in playing time.

Collins has averaged 0.88 fantasy points per minute this season and if Kanter is out he will be a lock and load play on this slate.

VALUE

Gary Harris (DS $8,380, DK $4,900) continues to play over 30 minutes per game through the playoffs. He has been very consistent in the range of 20-30 fantasy points making him a solid play for all formats on this slate. 

Al-Farouq Aminu (DS $7,860, DK $4,300) is another player who is locked into 30 minutes of playing time every night. His lowest score during the Oklahoma Thunder series was 19.75 points and he brings an upside of 40 points, which is enough value to win you a GPP at this price point. 

PREMIUM

Nikola Jokic (DS $19,250, DK $10,000) was an absolute monster to close out the round 1 series against the Spurs. Posting a massive 77.5 and 62.25 fantasy points in game 6 and 7 he has been justifiably priced way up. He still offers safety on this slate with the Trailblazers trotting out Enes Kanter, if healthy, one of the worst defensive centres in the game. The entire offense runs through Jokic, that combined with a positive one on one matchup bring his massive 80-90 point ceiling into play.

Kawhi Leonard (DS $16,170, DK $9,000) is simply priced too cheaply. Going for over 50 fantasy points in three of his last five games, including a game 1 performance for the ages against the 76ers notching up 69.75 fantasy points. This is a rare pace up matchup for these playoffs against Philadelphia and it is clear that Jimmy Butler and Ben Simmons are going to struggle to contain him in the series.

Dragon Team

DFR Dragon Team

Data provided by Notorious of RotoGrinders and Daily Fantasy Rankings NBA Resources

DFR Dragon

The Daily Fantasy Rankings "Dragon" has scoured the Australian sports betting markets and found some great value picks for these games. Check out his picks for the day below and click on the links to follow his betting plays!

Dragon's Picks Odds Sportsbook
Joel Embiid Under 24.5 Points $1.88 Bet now at BetEasy!
Lillard 3+ 3FGM / Blazers Win $3.25 Bet now at Neds!
Nikola Jokic Over 23.5 Points $1.89 Bet now at Sportsbet!
Pascal Siakam Outscore Embiid $2.16 Bet now at Pointsbet!

 

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